Banxico

USD/MXN remains caught between the peso’s attractive carry profile and the possibility of a more hawkish Federal Reserve path. Traders are watching the August 6, 2026 Banxico decision and key chart levels near the 200 EMA for signs of whether a dollar rebound can take hold.

USD/MXN is entering a decisive policy window as traders assess whether Federal Reserve hawkishness can challenge the peso’s carry appeal. Technical traders are watching the 200 EMA near 17.80, resistance at 18.09, and trendline support around 17.21 for confirmation of the next move.

USD/MXN retreated after an intraday attempt to climb above 17.50, leaving traders focused on whether the move was a liquidity grab or the start of a larger reversal. With rate expectations still in play, the pair remains vulnerable to short-term downside pressure if support gives way.