Employment Cost Index

Silver has staged a notable weekly rebound after heavy selling earlier in the month, but the macro backdrop remains difficult. A firmer dollar, tighter policy pricing and inflation sensitive oil conditions leave XAGUSD exposed to a pivotal sequence of Fed, PCE and wage catalysts.

Gold enters a pivotal policy and data week with the market focused on Warsh’s inflation message, the PCE release and wage signals. Oil, Treasury yields and the dollar remain the key forces that could decide whether XAUUSD breaks from its five-week range.