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CME Fedwatch

28 STORIES
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FORECASTS2 DAYS AGO
Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC Tests $87K Breakout as Demand Recovers and Fed Hike Bets Ease
Bitcoin is consolidating near the $86,500 to $87,000 resistance area after a modest pullback, but technical traders continue to watch for an ascending-triangle breakout. Improving apparent demand and softer October rate-hike expectations are keeping the $93,000 to $94,500 zone in focus.
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FORECASTSSEP 29, 2026
Gold Faces PCE Test as Dollar, Yields Keep XAUUSD Sellers in Control
Gold recovered from Monday’s low, but the bounce remains constrained by a firm Dollar Index, elevated yields and persistent expectations for an October Federal Reserve rate increase. Technical traders are watching whether XAUUSD can reclaim broken resistance or whether a move below Monday’s low restarts the downtrend.
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FORECASTSSEP 28, 2026
EUR/USD Forecast: Dollar Strength Keeps 1.1375 Breakout Level in Focus
EUR/USD remains pressured by broad US Dollar strength, with Treasury yields near long term highs and markets pricing a stronger chance of another Federal Reserve rate increase. Technical traders are watching 1.1375 and 1.1406 as the pair consolidates inside a narrow decision zone.
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FORECASTSSEP 21, 2026
EUR/USD Forecast: Bearish Pressure Builds After Fed and ECB Rate Signals
EUR/USD remained under pressure at 1.1486 as traders weighed recent Federal Reserve and European Central Bank rate decisions. Technical traders are watching a bearish setup below the 50-day EMA, with 1.1400 and 1.1550 as key levels.
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FORECASTSSEP 19, 2026
EUR/USD Forecast: Bulls Test 1.1487 as Fed Shock Keeps Dollar in Control
EUR/USD is attempting to stabilize after the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt pushed the US Dollar to a fresh seven-week high. Technical traders are watching support at 1.1458 and resistance at 1.1487, with 1.1500 and 1.1525 shaping the next major decision zone.
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FORECASTSSEP 17, 2026
EUR/USD Steadies After Fed-Driven Selloff as Bulls Target 1.1487
EUR/USD is attempting to stabilize after a sharp Fed-driven decline, with support emerging at 1.1458. Traders are watching whether bulls can reclaim 1.1487 before broader bearish pressure returns near 1.1500 or 1.1525.
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FORECASTSSEP 16, 2026
AUD/USD Holds Key EMA Support as Traders Brace for Fed Rate Hike
AUD/USD retreated for a second consecutive day as US and Australian bond yields climbed to multi-year highs ahead of the Federal Reserve decision. Despite the pullback to 0.7130, the pair remains above its 50-day EMA, keeping a near-term bullish rebound scenario alive.
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FORECASTSSEP 14, 2026
Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC/USD Under Pressure Before Fed Decision as ETF Outflows Deepen
Bitcoin remained on the defensive near 77,230 as traders weighed ETF outflows, oil prices above $100 and rising US yields before the Federal Reserve decision. Technical traders are watching whether BTC/USD can hold above key trend indicators or slide toward 74,000 and 72,000 support zones.
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FORECASTSSEP 14, 2026
EUR/USD Pullback Deepens as Fed Decision and Rising Wedge Breakdown Drive Focus to 1.1500
EUR/USD slipped to 1.1600 after the ECB rate decision, a firm US inflation reading, and renewed energy market concerns shaped investor positioning. Technical traders are watching whether a break below 1.1568 confirms downside momentum toward 1.1500.
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NEWSSEP 10, 2026
Bitcoin Traders Pull Back Bullish Bets as U.S. Inflation Data Looms
Bitcoin’s retreat from the $80,000 area has pushed traders to reduce bullish positioning ahead of key U.S. inflation readings. Markets are watching whether producer and consumer price data reinforce expectations for another Federal Reserve rate increase.
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FORECASTSSEP 7, 2026
EUR/USD Stays Range-Bound as Strong US Jobs Data Revives Fed Hike Bets
EUR/USD remained caught in a narrow range after stronger US labor data boosted expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates. Traders are watching support near 1.1567 and resistance at 1.1700 as European growth and inflation data move into focus.
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FORECASTSSEP 2, 2026
Bitcoin Price Signal: BTC/USD Weakens as Bond Yields Rise and Fed Hike Risk Builds
Bitcoin has pulled back from last month’s high of $81,365 to trade near $77,320 as bond-market stress and renewed rate-hike concerns weigh on risk appetite. Technical traders are watching $76,880 for near-term direction, with $70,000 and $80,000 framing the latest bearish and bullish scenarios.
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NEWSSEP 2, 2026
Bitcoin Under Pressure as Fed Hike Fears Build Around $90 Oil Shock
Bitcoin and the wider crypto market are trading defensively as oil-driven inflation anxiety, a stronger Dollar Index and weakening equities weigh on risk appetite. Some market observers argue that a Federal Reserve rate increase this month would risk compounding a supply shock rather than solving it.
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FORECASTSSEP 2, 2026
EUR/USD Bears Eye 1.1574 Break as Dollar Strength Accelerates
EUR/USD is trading near a two-week low as the US Dollar extends its recent strength and traders reassess the likelihood of another Federal Reserve rate hike. The pair remains vulnerable below the 1.1600 area, although failure to break 1.1574 could still encourage a short-term bullish response.
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NEWSSEP 2, 2026
Solana, Tron and XRP Lead Crypto Majors Lower as Iran Strikes Spark Risk Selloff
Large-cap cryptocurrencies fell across the board after U.S. airstrikes on Iran prompted traders to reduce exposure to riskier assets. Bitcoin held up better than higher-beta majors, while oil, bond yields and rate expectations became the main drivers of market pressure.
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FORECASTSAUG 31, 2026
GBP/USD Outlook: Sterling’s Recent Strength Faces a Crucial Test After Support Break
GBP/USD has moved lower after failed attempts to extend its rally, putting attention on whether sellers can keep control below recently lost levels. The pair remains vulnerable if resistance holds, but nearby support means the short case may require patience.
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FORECASTSAUG 30, 2026
USD/CAD Rallies as Hawkish Fed Signals Meet Grain Market Breakouts
USD/CAD gained as stronger U.S. data, hawkish Federal Reserve messaging and fresh tariff pressure weighed on the Canadian dollar. Agricultural commodities drew attention after wheat and soybeans broke to multi-year highs, while traders also monitored oil and Ethereum setups.
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FORECASTSAUG 26, 2026
Bitcoin Faces Three Macro Tests as Traders Weigh Inflation, Nvidia and Jackson Hole
Bitcoin has slipped back under $79,000 after a sharp seven-day run above $80,000 left momentum indicators looking stretched. Traders are now focused on July PCE inflation, Nvidia’s earnings and remarks at Jackson Hole for clues on risk appetite and rates.
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NEWSAUG 17, 2026
Bitcoin Sentiment Improves as Goldman Sachs Calls September Fed Rate Hike Very Unlikely
Goldman Sachs says a September Federal Reserve interest-rate increase is very unlikely, citing softer economic data and improving inflation trends. The view is supportive for bitcoin bulls as BTC remains confined to a narrow trading band around the mid-$63,000 area.
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NEWSAUG 16, 2026
Dollar Mostly Steady as July Inflation Lands in Line With Expectations
The US dollar remained close to familiar levels after July inflation data matched consensus across headline and core measures. Softer jobs data and another decline in inflation have pushed more hawkish Federal Reserve expectations out of immediate focus.
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NEWSAUG 14, 2026
Dollar Holds Familiar Ground as July Inflation Meets Expectations
The US dollar remained broadly steady after July inflation data landed in line with market expectations, limiting volatility across major markets. Softer jobs momentum and another cooling inflation reading have pushed more hawkish Federal Reserve expectations into the background for now.
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FORECASTSJUL 30, 2026
GBP/USD Climbs as Traders Weigh Hawkish Fed Hold and BOE Decision
GBP/USD has pushed higher despite a hawkish Federal Reserve hold, putting the 1.3400 area back in focus for currency traders. The Bank of England decision could now determine whether sterling bulls can extend the move or whether resistance forces another pullback.
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FORECASTSJUL 26, 2026
AUD/USD Triple Top Draws Attention as Dollar Strength and Oil Shock Weigh on Aussie
AUD/USD is back under pressure as technical resistance aligns with a firmer U.S. dollar, rising oil prices and renewed geopolitical anxiety. Traders are watching whether nearby support can hold or whether the triple-top structure opens the door to a deeper pullback.
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FORECASTSJUL 16, 2026
GBP/USD Holds Above 1.3500 as Sterling Breakout Gains Traction
GBP/USD is drawing fresh attention after breaking above the closely watched 1.3500 area and the nearby 1.3489 resistance zone. Traders are now watching whether the former ceiling can become support as pound strength and dollar weakness shape the next move.