Kevin Warsh
21 STORIESFORECASTS4D
USD/MXN Stays Under Pressure Near 17.00 as Dollar Weakness Drives MomentumUSD/MXN is trading close to the 17.00 area as broad U.S. dollar weakness continues to support the Mexican peso. Technical traders are watching whether the pair can sustain a break below the psychological threshold or whether volatility triggers a sharp reversal.
FORECASTS12D
AUD/USD Rising Wedge Keeps Traders Alert Ahead of U.S. Jobs ReportAUD/USD is holding near the lower edge of a rising wedge after pulling back from a near two-month high. Traders are watching U.S. employment data for signals that could shift Federal Reserve expectations and determine whether the pair breaks support or resumes its recent climb.
NEWS22D
Bitcoin Analysts Split After Hawkish Fed Hold as BTC Holds Near $64,000Bitcoin steadied near $64,000 after the Federal Reserve kept rates at 3.5%-3.75% in a hawkish 9-3 decision. Market views are divided on whether tighter liquidity bites immediately or whether September becomes the bigger test for BTC.
NEWS23D
Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady as Bitcoin Climbs Above $64,400The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark fed funds rate range unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, extending its pause for a sixth consecutive meeting. Bitcoin rose above $64,400 after the decision, while stock indexes trimmed losses and gold advanced as investors turned to Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference for policy signals.
FORECASTS23D
Bitcoin Braces for a Pivotal Fed Decision as Rate Uncertainty BuildsBitcoin enters the July 29, 2026 Federal Reserve decision facing an unusually unsettled macro backdrop. Traders are watching whether policymakers deliver a surprise rate increase, lean hawkish, or downplay inflation risks despite rising oil prices and firming bond yields.
FORECASTS23D
Gold and Silver Face Key Technical Tests Ahead of Fed DecisionGold and silver remain under pressure as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and its impact on the U.S. dollar. Key technical levels are defining the next move, with gold centered on the $3,950 to $4,200 range and silver locked between $55 and $64.
NEWS23D
Citadel’s Surprise Fed Hike Call Puts Bitcoin Traders on AlertCitadel is preparing for a surprise Federal Reserve rate hike on Wednesday even as much of the market expects no change. The contrarian call has sharpened focus on Treasury yields, bitcoin’s pullback and the Fed’s use of forward guidance.
NEWS23D
Bitcoin Holds Firm as Fed Uncertainty Weighs More Heavily on AI StocksBitcoin has stayed resilient above $63,000 ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision, even as AI-linked technology shares remain under pressure. Market participants say weaker equity correlations could leave BTC less exposed than the Nasdaq if policy uncertainty jolts risk assets.
FORECASTS24D
EUR/USD Forecast: Pair Wavers Near 1.1373 as Fed Decision and Macro Data LoomEUR/USD remained boxed in near 1.1373 as traders balanced a pause in US-Iran attacks against upcoming US and European data. Technical traders are watching whether the pair can hold above June support or extend its slide below key resistance levels.
NEWS33D
AUD/USD Consolidates After Softer U.S. Inflation Cuts July Fed Hike OddsAUD/USD held recent gains after weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data sharply reduced the market-implied chance of a July Federal Reserve rate hike. Technical traders are watching nearby support around 0.6970 and resistance near 0.7020 as the pair digests its midweek rally.
FORECASTS35D
AUD/USD Consolidates as Softer U.S. Inflation Resets Fed Rate ExpectationsAUD/USD held recent gains after softer U.S. inflation figures sharply reduced expectations for a July Federal Reserve rate increase. Traders are now watching whether the pair can defend support near 0.6970 and 0.6960 while testing resistance around 0.7020 and 0.7050.
FORECASTS37D
GBP/USD Forecast: Bearish Divergence Keeps 1.3300 in Focus as Inflation Risks BuildGBP/USD traded flat around 1.3387 on July 15 as markets weighed US inflation data, upcoming PPI figures and the policy outlook for the Federal Reserve and Bank of England. Technical traders are watching a bearish divergence on the four-hour chart, with 1.3300 emerging as the key downside level if support gives way.
NEWS38D
Soft June CPI Cools Fed Rate-Hike Bets as Bitcoin ClimbsU.S. inflation came in well below expectations in June, easing pressure on the Federal Reserve to move quickly on interest rates. Bitcoin extended gains after the data, while stock futures rose and Treasury yields fell.
NEWS38D
Bitcoin, XRP and Ether Retreat as July Fed Rate-Hike Bets Shake Crypto MarketsMajor cryptocurrencies fell by 2% or more over 24 hours as traders sharply increased expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in July. The pullback comes before Tuesday’s inflation report and congressional testimony from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, with oil prices and U.S.-Iran tensions adding to market anxiety.
NEWS39D
Bitcoin Seller Exhaustion Signs Grow as BTC Holds Above $62,000Bitcoin is showing signs that panic selling may be fading after holding above $62,000 despite renewed U.S.-Iran tensions and broader market weakness. Fresh spot bitcoin ETF inflows and a sharp slowdown in spot selling add to the case, though some market participants remain wary of a futures-led rebound.
NEWS41D
S&P 500 and Nasdaq Rally as AI Leaders Lift Tech, With Earnings and Inflation NextThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher as Meta and Nvidia powered another AI-led advance, though lighter volume raised questions about conviction. Bank earnings, June inflation data and congressional testimony from Kevin Warsh now form the next major test for a market trading near record territory.
FORECASTS43D
Bitcoin Price Faces Sub $60K Risk as Fed Rate Hike Bets Reprice Macro OutlookBitcoin is testing a fragile recovery as futures traders increase expectations for a September Federal Reserve rate hike. Technical traders are watching resistance near $63,800 to $64,000, where a rejection could reopen downside risk toward $59,300.
NEWS44D
Bitcoin Faces Stickier Inflation Puzzle as Iran Conflict Sends Oil HigherBitcoin is caught between falling market-based inflation expectations and rising consumer inflation fears as renewed conflict involving Iran jolts oil prices. Traders are watching whether Fed minutes from the June meeting reinforce caution around rates while BTC hovers near $62,000.
NEWS51D
Bitcoin Rebounds Toward $60,000 After Warsh Signals Lower Inflation RisksBitcoin climbed back toward the $60,000 level after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said inflation risks have come down and reaffirmed the central bank’s 2% target. Warsh also pointed to AI-driven investment as a possible force that could expand the economy and reshape future policy.
NEWS65D
Bitcoin Dips Below $65K as Markets Await Warsh’s First FOMC TestBitcoin slipped below $65,000 as crypto markets softened ahead of the first FOMC decision under Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. Traders are watching inflation guidance more closely than the immediate rate outcome, while Uniswap’s UNI continues to surge.
NEWS65D
Warsh’s First Fed Meeting May Be About Tone, Not RatesThe Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave benchmark rates unchanged at today’s policy meeting, the first under Chairman Kevin Warsh. Markets are watching for any shift in language that could signal a more hawkish stance on inflation and future cuts.