Christine Lagarde
12 STORIESFORECASTS25D
US Dollar Outlook Hinges on Fed Signals as EUR/USD and GBP/USD Test Key LevelsThe U.S. dollar is holding a constructive technical tone as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve meeting, key inflation data and payrolls figures. EUR/USD and GBP/USD remain under pressure near important resistance areas, while central bank guidance keeps forex volatility in focus.
FORECASTS29D
U.S. Dollar Advances as Brent Oil Breaks Above $100 and Forex Markets Reprice RiskThe U.S. dollar gained ground as a sharp oil rally and stronger-than-expected U.S. jobless claims data lifted demand for safe-haven assets. EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD and USD/JPY all traded around important technical levels as markets weighed central bank signals, Treasury yields and commodity shocks.
FORECASTS29D
ECB Set to Hold Rates as Energy Risks Keep September in PlayThe European Central Bank is expected to avoid firm guidance as renewed energy-price pressure and geopolitical risk complicate the path beyond July. Market participants are still pricing the possibility of further tightening by September and another move before year-end.
FORECASTS29D
EUR/USD Wavers at Key Support as ECB Decision and Energy Shock Risks LoomEUR/USD slipped toward 1.1410 as traders positioned for the European Central Bank decision and monitored renewed energy-driven inflation risks. Technical pressure remains focused on the lower end of an ascending channel, with chart watchers eyeing 1.1326 if support gives way.
FORECASTS30D
EUR/USD Forecast: Euro Faces ECB Test as Bearish Channel Keeps Sellers in ControlEUR/USD remains tilted lower in the medium term, even as oversold momentum signals leave room for a short term corrective rebound. Traders are watching the ECB decision, improved ZEW sentiment data and key levels around 1.1375, 1.1500 and 1.1180 for the next directional cue.
FORECASTS31D
EUR/USD Near 1.14 as ECB Decision Tests Euro SentimentEUR/USD is trading near 1.14200 ahead of the European Central Bank’s Thursday rate decision, with markets largely expecting no immediate change. Safe-haven dollar demand, Fed rate expectations, oil-driven inflation risks and potential ECB liquidity changes are all shaping the euro outlook.
FORECASTS43D
EUR/USD Holds Steady as Fed Minutes, ECB Outlook and Oil Shock Shape Rate ExpectationsEUR/USD traded flat near 1.1423 as traders weighed divided Federal Reserve minutes and awaited European Central Bank meeting details. Technical traders are watching whether a bearish flag setup can push the pair toward the year-to-date low at 1.1323 or whether resistance at 1.1473 gives way.
FORECASTS46D
EUR/USD Forecast: Bearish Setup Persists as Fed and ECB Minutes LoomEUR/USD has recovered from its June low, but technical traders continue to watch bearish continuation signals below the 50-day EMA. This week’s Federal Reserve and European Central Bank minutes may shape near-term volatility as markets reassess jobs weakness, inflation pressure, and rate expectations.
FORECASTS47D
EUR/USD Holds Bearish Bias Below 1.1400 as US Jobs Data LoomsEUR/USD remains under pressure around and below the 1.1400 area as traders wait for the US employment report. Technical momentum still favors sellers, while easing inflation in Germany and France gives the euro limited support.
FORECASTS49D
EUR/USD Forecast: US Jobs Data Puts 1.1400 Support Under PressureEUR/USD remains in a bearish technical structure as the pair stabilizes around and below 1.1400 before the US employment report. Traders are watching whether stronger jobs figures can extend dollar strength or whether weaker data can trigger a euro rebound toward nearby resistance.
NEWS54D
ECB May Lean Toward a Hike as Inflation Risks RebuildEuro area growth is softening, yet policy makers may be becoming more alert to the risk that inflation expectations re-ignite. With Brent crude still elevated and confidence weakening, the ECB’s next move could tilt toward cautionary tightening rather than cuts.
NEWS54D
ECB Faces Fresh Inflation Risk as Brent Spike Threatens Eurozone RecoveryEuro area inflation risks now lean toward an overshoot of the ECB’s 2% target, with Brent crude above $100 a barrel potentially pushing prices higher. Policymakers also face renewed pressure to protect a fragile recovery if Middle East instability keeps energy costs elevated.