Sports Contracts

A Sixth Circuit panel ruled that Kalshi’s sports-related event contracts are not federally regulated swaps, placing them within reach of state gaming regulators in Ohio and Tennessee. The decision deepens a growing appellate split over prediction markets and increases the likelihood that the U.S. Supreme Court will take up the issue.

Kalshi is discussing a funding round of at least $750 million that could value the prediction-market platform at $40 billion. The talks come after a $1 billion raise at a $22 billion valuation in May and as the company weighs a potential IPO in 2027.